You are watching: What will the weather be like on christmas
Christmas weather forecast
tasiilaq.net says is our view. Regular updates have started.
The Computer says uses raw computer model data. Daily updates are running.
From Brian Gaze, TWO founder Since establishing tasiilaq.net over 15 years ago the site has grown enormously and running costs have risen. If you find it useful and would like to contribute to further development please consider making a donation.
Welcome to the Christmas Day 2021 countdown.
Slightly reduced chance of a white Christmas
The third update makes a slight downwards adjustment to the chance of a white Christmas. Nonetheless, it is still considered to be quite high relative to the average. The likelihood of cold spells during the early part of the winter this year is considered to be higher than normal due to an expected La Nina ENSO state. However, a green Christmas is still favoured in lowland parts of the UK, with snow most likely over the Scottish mountains.
The latest considerations are:
Analogues from previous years
Weather patterns through the early part of the meteorological autumn
Seasonal computer model data
Background signals and teleconnections
Chance of snow on Christmas Day
North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 21%.
South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 16%.
Updates: 1: 01/09, 2: 12/09, 3: 18/09.
The Computer saysToo mild for snow in the southCold conditions in Wales, marginal for snow.Cold conditions in the Midlands, marginal for snow.Too mild for snow in the northToo mild for snow in ScotlandToo mild for snow in Northern IrelandToo mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland
Forecast updated daily.
Video forecast for Christmas 2021 is not available yet.
Christmas period charts and data
Computer model charts and data to help you make your own forecast!
Forecast 850hPa temp anomaly
The forecast 850hPa level (about 1500m above sea level) upper air anomaly charts do not yet reach Christmas week.
Blue shading indicates colder than the 30 year average.
Red shading indicates warmer than the 30 year average.
Not available until November
The ghost of Christmas past
If the past is the best guide to the future you may find it useful and interesting to check out these charts from Christmases past. Links open in a new window.
See more: How Many Amps Does A Keurig Use ? How Many Watts Does A Keurig Use
1979, 1980, 1981, 1982, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020
1981 - 2010 temperature average
Average December 25th temperatures for the 1981 - 2010 period are shown on the chart below.